← Resources · October 02, 2026
Economics GS2GS3 4 min read

India-Canada CEPA Talks Speed Up: Fifth Round in Ottawa, Goal of About $70 Billion Trade in Five Years

What happened
01

India and Canada will hold the fifth round of negotiations on a Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) in Ottawa, starting on 5 October 2026. The fourth round was held in Mumbai in September 2026.

02

Canada's trade ministry has said the aim is to take two-way trade from about 30 billion dollars to close to 70 billion dollars within the next five years. Both sides want to conclude the CEPA by the end of 2026.

03

The trade target and the 2026 deadline were backed in the joint statement of 2 March 2026, issued during the Canadian Prime Minister's visit to India. The Terms of Reference for the CEPA were also signed on that day. Earlier, in November 2025, the two Prime Ministers had agreed to launch CEPA talks with an initial goal of USD 50 billion of trade by 2030.

04

Apart from trade, the two countries are also expanding cooperation in critical minerals and energy, including a long-term uranium supply deal signed in March 2026.

05

The talks mark a strong recovery in ties that had collapsed in 2023-24, when diplomats were expelled on both sides.

Static topic 1 of 2 · Economics

Free Trade Agreements: Concept and WTO Framework

A Free Trade Agreement (FTA) is a deal between two or more countries to remove or cut import taxes (tariffs) on most of the goods they trade with each other, while each keeps its own tariffs for outside countries. India calls its broader deals CEPA (Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement) or CECA (Comprehensive Economic Cooperation Agreement). A CEPA usually goes beyond goods to cover services, investment, movement of professionals, digital trade and common rules. Under WTO rules (GATT Article XXIV for goods and GATS Article V for services), such deals are allowed as an exception to the "same treatment for all" principle, if they cover substantially all trade.

Connection to this news

The India-Canada CEPA is a typical "comprehensive" deal: it aims to cut tariffs on goods and also open services, investment and mobility. Concluding it by the end of 2026 is the main tool both sides are relying on to more than double trade within five years.

Static topic 2 of 2 · Economics

India-Canada Relations: History, Rupture and Reset

India and Canada are both democracies, members of the Commonwealth and the G20, and share deep people-to-people ties through one of the largest Indian diasporas in the world. Their relationship has seen long periods of friendship and sharp breakdowns. The two biggest strains came from the 1974 nuclear test and, much later, from disputes over Khalistani extremism in Canada. Since 2025, both countries have been rebuilding ties with a focus on trade, energy and education.

Connection to this news

The fast pace of CEPA rounds in 2026 shows how far the relationship has come since the 2023-24 rupture. Both governments are using trade, energy and minerals to give the reset a solid economic base, aiming for a deal by the end of 2026.

Key facts & data
  • Fifth round of India-Canada CEPA talks: Ottawa, from 5 October 2026; fourth round: Mumbai, September 2026
  • Goal stated by Canada's trade minister: from about 30 billion dollars to close to 70 billion dollars of two-way trade within five years
  • Earlier leaders' target (November 2025): USD 50 billion of trade by 2030
  • CEPA Terms of Reference signed: 2 March 2026; aim to conclude the deal by end-2026
  • Cameco uranium deal (March 2026): about C$2.6 billion, supplies from 2027 to 2035
  • Indian goods exports to Canada (2024): CAD 8.02 billion; imports: CAD 5.30 billion
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