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Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI)

Methodology and Significance

The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) is a leading economic indicator derived from monthly surveys of procurement and supply executives (purchasing managers) in private sector companies. It is "leading" because purchasing managers make forward-looking decisions — ordering inputs before production begins — making the index a predictor of near-term economic activity rather than a lagging measure.

Key details
  • PMI is compiled by S&P Global (formerly IHS Markit) for India under the HSBC brand name.
  • The PMI is based on five weighted components: New Orders (30%), Output (25%), Employment (20%), Supplier Delivery Times (15%), Stocks of Purchases (10%).
  • Interpretation: PMI above 50 = expansion; PMI below 50 = contraction; PMI at 50 = no change.
  • The degree of reading above 50 indicates the speed of expansion — 56.9 represents a strong expansion.
  • India also publishes a separate Services PMI and a Composite PMI (combining manufacturing and services).
  • India's Manufacturing PMI has consistently been above 50 for over 35 consecutive months as of early 2026, reflecting an extended expansion cycle.
  • Unlike GDP data (which is quarterly and published with a lag), PMI is monthly and near real-time, making it closely watched by investors, RBI, and the Finance Ministry.
In the news

● Tracked since February 20, 2026 · last seen July 02, 2026 · updates as the daily brief publishes

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